Technical Risk Assessment of the 20 kV Submarine Cable Network Development on Tunda Island, Banten

Authors

  • Frendy Satria Utama Institut Teknologi Sepuluh November
  • Silvianita Silvianita Institut Teknologi Sepuluh November

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.58344/locus.v5i3.5671

Keywords:

Technical Risks, Submarine Cable, FMEA, AHP, 20 KV Network, Tunda Island

Abstract

The construction of a 20 kV submarine cable network in Tunda Island is a strategic project to enhance the reliability of the electricity supply. This project faces significant technical risks that require structured risk management. This study aims to identify, analyze, and prioritize technical risk mitigation strategies using a combination of Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA), Fault Tree Analysis (FTA), and the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP). The FMEA results identified ten technical failure modes, with the top three risks based on the Risk Priority Number (RPN) being: Cable jointing failure (RPN 345.31 - Extreme category), Repair/logistics delay (RPN 294.00 - High category), and Mechanical damage to the submarine cable (RPN 231.56 - High category). These findings indicate that human technical and operational aspects, particularly the jointing process and logistical readiness, are the main critical points. The FTA analysis of the critical risks (R4, R10, R1) revealed that the root causes of failure are heavily influenced by human and operational factors, such as non-compliance with installation procedures, the use of non-standard splicing materials, and limitations in logistics and complex administrative bureaucracy. Through AHP, the most dominant mitigation criteria were found to be Electrical System Reliability (weight 0.3389) and External Risk Control (weight 0.2777). Based on this weighting, the most effective and globally prioritized mitigation strategy is the Establishment of Anchor Prohibition Zones and Community Socialization (global weight 0.3722), followed by the Installation of Concrete Mattress (global weight 0.3138). This strategy emphasizes the importance of physical protection combined with regulatory and community participation roles. This research provides a significant contribution in the form of a structured and prioritized technical risk mitigation framework, which can serve as a guide for PLN UID Banten to ensure the safe, efficient, and sustainable execution of the project in a complex maritime environment.

References

Acaroglu, H., & Marquez, F. P. (2022). High voltage direct current systems through submarine cables for offshore wind farms: A life-cycle cost analysis with voltage source converters for bulk power transmission. Energy, 249, 123713. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.123713

Aven, T. (2016). Risk Assessment and Risk Management: Basic Concepts and Principles. Springer.

Carlson, C. S. (2012). Effective FMEAs: Achieving Safe, Reliable, and Economical Products and Processes Using Failure Mode and Effects Analysis. John Wiley & Sons.

Ferreira, J., & Leite, P. (2012). Reliability and Risk Assessment in Submarine Cables. Electric Power Systems Research, 76–83.

Gordonnat, J., & Hunt, J. (2020). Subsea cable key challenges of an intercontinental power link: Case study of Australia–Singapore interconnector. Energy Transitions, 4, 169–188. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41825-020-00030-z

Gulski, E., Jongen, R., de Heus, M., Rakowska, A., Siodla, K., & Gaal, H. (2021). Discussion of electrical and thermal aspects of offshore wind farms’ power cables reliability. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 151, 111580. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2021.111580

Institute, P. M. (2013). A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK Guide) (5th ed.). Project Management Institute.

Kerzner, H. (2017). Project Management: A Systems Approach to Planning, Scheduling, and Controlling (12th ed.). Wiley.

Li, H., Teixeira, A. P., & Guedes Soares, C. (2020). A two-stage failure mode and effect analysis of offshore wind turbines. Renewable Energy, 162, 1438–1461. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2020.08.001

Mazzanti, G., Landini, M., & Kandia, E. (2021). Issues and challenges for HVDC extruded cable systems. Energies, 14(15), 4504. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14154504

Okpokparoro, S., & Sriramula, S. (2023). Reliability analysis of floating wind turbine dynamic cables under realistic environmental loads. Ocean Engineering, 278, 114594. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oceaneng.2023.114594

Pisani, C., & Villacci, D. (2011). A Novel AHP Framework for Decision Making. Project Management Institute.

Purvins, A., Sereno, L., Ardelean, M., & Efthimiadis, T. (2018). Submarine power cable between Europe and North America: A techno-economic analysis. Journal of Cleaner Production, 186, 131–145. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.03.095

Simmons, D. (2010). Functional Safety in the Process Industry: A Handbook for the Practitioner. IDC Technologies.

Taormina, B., Bald, J., Want, A., Thouzeau, G., Lejart, M., Desroy, N., & Carlier, A. (2018). A review of potential impacts of submarine power cables on the marine environment: Knowledge gaps, recommendations and future directions. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 96, 380–391. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2018.07.026

Thomson, P. R., Raby, A., & Hann, M. (2014). Operational Risk Management for Subsea Cable Projects. Ocean Engineering, 126–134.

Wang, Q., Guo, J., Wang, Z., Tahchi, E., Wang, X., & Zukerman, M. (2019). Cost-effective path planning for submarine cable systems. IEEE Communications Magazine, 57(1), 60–66. https://doi.org/10.1109/MCOM.2018.1701232

Wang, W., Yan, X., Li, S., Zhang, L., Ouyang, J., & Ni, X. (2021). Failure of submarine cables used in high-voltage power transmission: Characteristics, mechanisms, key issues and prospects. IET Generation, Transmission & Distribution, 15(9), 1387–1402. https://doi.org/10.1049/gtd2.12117

Yusuf, I., Soebagio, & Ashari, M. (2019). Risk Management and Maintenance Strategy for Subsea Cables in Indonesia. Journal of Electrical Engineering, 112–124.

Zhao, X., Li, Z., Zhang, Y., Guo, C., & Li, B. (2020). Technical and economic demands of HVDC submarine cable technology for global energy interconnection. Global Energy Interconnection, 3(2), 120–131. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloei.2020.05.004

Downloads

Published

2026-03-12